Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Lillestrom	Draw	Molde
32.71% ( 0.18)	24.47% ( -0)	42.82% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 58.76% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.01% (

0.07)

43.99% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.63% (

0.07)

66.37% (

-0.06)

Lillestrom Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.06% (

0.14)

25.94% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.05% (

0.19)

60.95% (

-0.19)

Molde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.34% (

-0.05)

20.66% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.76% (

-0.09)

53.24% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Lillestrom 32.71%

Molde 42.82%

Draw 24.47%

Lillestrom	Draw	Molde
2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.71%	1-1 @ 11.4% 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.47%	1-2 @ 8.99% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.73% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 42.82%