SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lillestrom | Draw | Molde |
33.91% ( -0.03) | 23.9% ( 0) | 42.18% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.23% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.06% ( -0.02) | 40.93% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.67% ( -0.02) | 63.32% ( 0.02) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.21% ( -0.03) | 23.78% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.06% ( -0.04) | 57.94% ( 0.03) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.33% ( 0) | 19.66% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.35% ( 0) | 51.65% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lillestrom | Draw | Molde |
| 2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.72% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.82% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 33.91% | 1-1 @ 10.92% 2-2 @ 6.38% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.68% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.9% | 1-2 @ 8.88% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.82% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.46% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.35% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.96% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.41% 0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 42.18% |
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