Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 65.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Lillestrom had a probability of 15.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.06%), while for a Lillestrom win it was 1-2 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
