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CONCACAF Champions League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 2, 2024 at 3.15am UK
Estadio BBVA Bancomer
CC

Monterrey
1 - 3
Columbus Crew

Cheberko (11' og.)
Vegas (34')
Meza (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Morris (45+4'), Rossi (49'), Russell-Rowe (89')
Nagbe (7')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-0 Montreal
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Monterrey 1-1 Columbus Crew (Columbus advances 3-2 on aggregate)

Nancy has instilled belief in this Crew side, who have shown plenty of character against experienced Mexican opponents in hostile environments, and we believe their resilience will carry them through this tie. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 54.82%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 23.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
MonterreyDrawColumbus Crew
54.82% (-0.132 -0.13) 22.11% (0.07 0.07) 23.07% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 59.17% (-0.163 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.04% (-0.251 -0.25)39.96% (0.252 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.67% (-0.261 -0.26)62.32% (0.262 0.26)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.46% (-0.128 -0.13)14.54% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.42% (-0.248 -0.25)42.58% (0.249 0.25)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.24% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)30.76% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.97% (-0.101 -0.1)67.02% (0.102 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Monterrey 54.82%
    Columbus Crew 23.07%
    Draw 22.1%
MonterreyDrawColumbus Crew
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 8.62% (0.061 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.32% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.34% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.71% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.04% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.79% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 54.82%
1-1 @ 10.16% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.47% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.1%
1-2 @ 5.99% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.27% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.22% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 23.07%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Necaxa 2-5 Monterrey
Monday, April 29 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-1 Monterrey
Thursday, April 25 at 1.15am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Club Leon 2-0 Monterrey
Sunday, April 21 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 3-3 Tigres
Sunday, April 14 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 3-1 Inter Miami
Thursday, April 11 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-1 Monterrey
Sunday, April 7 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-0 Montreal
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-1 Monterrey
Thursday, April 25 at 1.15am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-2 Portland
Sunday, April 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 0-0 Columbus Crew
Sunday, April 14 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Tigres 1-1 Columbus Crew (3-4 pen.)
Wednesday, April 10 at 1.45am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 DC United
Sunday, April 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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