Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 48.51%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 25.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Monterrey	Draw	Cruz Azul
48.51% ( 0.38)	25.56% ( 0.01)	25.92% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 50.97% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.75% (

-0.31)

52.24% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.05% (

-0.27)

73.95% (

0.27)

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.44% (

0.03)

21.55% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.37% (

0.06)

54.62% (

-0.06)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.97% (

-0.49)

35.02% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.23% (

-0.52)

71.77% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

Monterrey 48.51%

Cruz Azul 25.92%

Draw 25.56%

Monterrey	Draw	Cruz Azul
1-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 48.51%	1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.56%	0-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.08% Total : 25.92%