Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 48.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Monterrey had a probability of 24.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Monterrey win it was 0-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
0.55) 
-0.57) 
