Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 1-0 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
Cruz Azul	Draw	Monterrey
34.19% ( -0.11)	27.43% ( -0.01)	38.38% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 49.4% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.81% (

0.03)

56.19% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.76% (

0.02)

77.24% (

-0.02)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.01% (

-0.06)

30.99% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.7% (

-0.07)

67.3% (

0.07)

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.59% (

0.08)

28.41% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.84% (

0.1)

64.16% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Cruz Azul 34.18%

Monterrey 38.38%

Draw 27.43%

Cruz Azul	Draw	Monterrey
1-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 34.18%	1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.43%	0-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 38.38%