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Liga MX | Gameweek 12
Oct 8, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio BBVA Bancomer

Monterrey
3 - 1
Juarez

Meza (6' pen.), Funes Mori (28', 46')
Romo (17'), Andrada (64'), Govea (90+3'), Moreno (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hurtado (52' pen.)
Campillo (5'), Vukcevic (66'), Oliva (70'), Santos (90+3')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Monterrey and Juarez.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Puebla 1-1 Monterrey
Wednesday, October 4 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 5-1 Juarez
Saturday, September 30 at 4.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 56.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 21.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
MonterreyDrawJuarez
56.22% (-0.14599999999999 -0.15) 22.78% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 21.01% (0.186 0.19)
Both teams to score 53.99% (0.416 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.53% (0.416 0.42)45.47% (-0.418 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.2% (0.395 0.4)67.8% (-0.39699999999999 -0.4)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.01% (0.096999999999994 0.1)15.98% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.71% (0.174 0.17)45.29% (-0.175 -0.18)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.26% (0.42099999999999 0.42)35.74% (-0.422 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.49% (0.432 0.43)72.51% (-0.432 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Monterrey 56.22%
    Juarez 21.01%
    Draw 22.77%
MonterreyDrawJuarez
1-0 @ 10.47% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.6% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-1 @ 6.04% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.87% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.77% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.026 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 56.22%
1-1 @ 10.77% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.71% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.059 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.77%
0-1 @ 5.88% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.02% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.9% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 21.01%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Puebla 1-1 Monterrey
Wednesday, October 4 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 3-0 Monterrey
Sunday, September 24 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 3-1 Club Leon
Sunday, September 17 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-2 Monterrey
Monday, September 4 at 12.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 1-0 Monterrey
Thursday, August 31 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 1-2 Cruz Azul
Monday, August 28 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 5-1 Juarez
Saturday, September 30 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 1-2 Atlas
Saturday, September 23 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-1 Juarez
Sunday, September 17 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 3-1 Mazatlan
Saturday, September 2 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 1-0 Juarez
Saturday, August 26 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 4-1 Pumas
Wednesday, August 23 at 4.06am in Liga MX


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