SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Pumas win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juarez would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Juarez | Draw | Pumas |
38.25% ( -0.62) | 25.83% ( -0.1) | 35.91% ( 0.71) |
| Both teams to score 54.76% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.52% ( 0.51) | 49.47% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.48% ( 0.45) | 71.51% ( -0.46) |
| Juarez Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.66% ( -0.1) | 25.33% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.88% ( -0.14) | 60.11% ( 0.13) |
| Pumas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.34% ( 0.66) | 26.65% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.1% ( 0.87) | 61.89% ( -0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Juarez | Draw | Pumas |
| 1-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.25% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.17% Total : 35.91% |
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