SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Juarez win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Tijuana would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Club Tijuana | Draw | Juarez |
45.94% ( 0.57) | 25.5% ( -0.14) | 28.56% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 53.16% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.65% ( 0.37) | 50.35% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.71% ( 0.33) | 72.29% ( -0.32) |
| Club Tijuana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.1% ( 0.42) | 21.91% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.84% ( 0.63) | 55.17% ( -0.62) |
| Juarez Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.07% ( -0.12) | 31.94% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.61% ( -0.14) | 68.39% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Club Tijuana | Draw | Juarez |
| 1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.32% Total : 45.94% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.73% Total : 28.56% |
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