Liga MX | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2023 at 2am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Monterrey.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Toluca win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result |
| Toluca | Draw | Monterrey |
34.48% ( -0.02) | 24.17% ( -0) | 41.35% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 60.4% ( 0) |
| 57.92% ( 0) | 42.08% ( -0) |
| 35.51% ( 0) | 64.49% ( -0) |
| 75.99% ( -0.01) | 24% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.74% ( -0.01) | 58.25% ( 0.01) |
| 79.47% ( 0.01) | 20.52% ( -0.01) |
