SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 56.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 21.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monterrey | Draw | Juarez |
56.22% ( -0.15) | 22.78% ( -0.04) | 21.01% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 53.99% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.53% ( 0.42) | 45.47% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.2% ( 0.4) | 67.8% ( -0.4) |
| Monterrey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.01% ( 0.1) | 15.98% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.71% ( 0.17) | 45.29% ( -0.18) |
| Juarez Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.26% ( 0.42) | 35.74% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.49% ( 0.43) | 72.51% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monterrey | Draw | Juarez |
| 1-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 56.22% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.77% | 0-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.88% Total : 21.01% |
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