SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Dundee United |
38.63% ( -0.08) | 25.47% | 35.9% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 56.03% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.14% ( 0.01) | 47.85% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.96% ( 0.01) | 70.04% ( -0.01) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.61% ( -0.04) | 24.39% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.19% ( -0.05) | 58.8% ( 0.05) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.1% ( 0.05) | 25.89% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.12% ( 0.07) | 60.88% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Dundee United |
| 1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.63% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 6.32% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.38% Total : 35.9% |
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