SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Hearts win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Dundee United |
28.37% ( 0.01) | 23.77% ( 0.04) | 47.86% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 58.78% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.1% ( -0.18) | 42.9% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.7% ( -0.18) | 65.3% ( 0.18) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.77% ( -0.08) | 28.23% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.07% ( -0.1) | 63.93% ( 0.1) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.9% ( -0.09) | 18.1% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.97% ( -0.16) | 49.03% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Dundee United |
| 2-1 @ 6.99% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.72% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 28.37% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 9.44% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.38% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.25% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.61% Total : 47.86% |
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