Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 67.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 13.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.