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Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Fir Park
EC

Motherwell
3 - 0
Edinburgh

Balmer (43'), Casey (56'), O'Donnell (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Jones (42'), Lynch (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Motherwell 1-2 St Johnstone
Sunday, May 19 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Cove Rangers 3-1 Edinburgh
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Scottish League One

We said: Motherwell 4-0 Edinburgh City

Although Edinburgh manager McIndoe did as well as could have been expected last season, it would be a surprise to see his side earn a win against Motherwell. Additionally, the home side should be strong favourites in Saturday's clash given their status as a top-flight team, in contrast to the visitors, who will begin the 2024-25 season in Scotland's League Two. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 82.68%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 5.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.09%) and 4-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.33%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 1-2 (1.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawEdinburgh City
82.68% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 11.39% (0.012 0.01) 5.93% (0.011 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.87% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.88% (0.007000000000005 0.01)29.12% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)50.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.84% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)5.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.53% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)20.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Edinburgh City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.48% (0.043999999999997 0.04)49.52% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.68% (0.030000000000001 0.03)84.32% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 82.67%
    Edinburgh City 5.93%
    Draw 11.39%
MotherwellDrawEdinburgh City
2-0 @ 11.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 11.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 8.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.89% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 7.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 5.78% (0.00099999999999945 0)
5-0 @ 4.87% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
5-1 @ 3.42%
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.004 0)
6-0 @ 2.41% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-2 @ 2.03% (0.0029999999999997 0)
6-1 @ 1.69%
5-2 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
7-0 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 82.67%
1-1 @ 5.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 2.77% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 11.39%
1-2 @ 1.87% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 5.93%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Motherwell 1-2 St Johnstone
Sunday, May 19 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 3-0 Motherwell
Wednesday, May 15 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 1-5 Motherwell
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 4-1 Livingston
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 1-0 Motherwell
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 1-1 Hibernian
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Cove Rangers 3-1 Edinburgh
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Edinburgh 1-3 Stirling
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Edinburgh 1-2 Annan
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Edinburgh 1-0 Montrose
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: QotS 2-0 Edinburgh
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 3-1 Edinburgh
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Scottish League One


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