Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 82.68%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 5.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.09%) and 4-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.33%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 1-2 (1.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Edinburgh City |
82.68% ( -0.02) | 11.39% ( 0.01) | 5.93% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.87% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.88% ( 0.01) | 29.12% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.88% ( 0.01) | 50.12% ( -0.01) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.84% ( -0) | 5.16% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.53% ( -0.01) | 20.47% ( 0.01) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.48% ( 0.04) | 49.52% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.68% ( 0.03) | 84.32% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Edinburgh City |
2-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.8% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.58% ( -0) 4-1 @ 5.78% ( 0) 5-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 3.42% 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0) 6-0 @ 2.41% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.03% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.69% 5-2 @ 1.2% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 3.72% Total : 82.67% | 1-1 @ 5.33% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.56% ( -0) Other @ 0.73% Total : 11.39% | 1-2 @ 1.87% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.8% ( 0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 5.93% |
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