SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 61.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 16.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dundee United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Dundee United.
| Result | ||
| Dundee United | Draw | Ayr United |
61.7% ( 0.02) | 21.65% ( -0) | 16.65% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.83% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.88% ( 0.01) | 47.12% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.65% ( 0.01) | 69.35% ( -0) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.26% ( 0.01) | 14.74% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.04% ( 0.02) | 42.96% ( -0.01) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.45% ( -0.01) | 41.55% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.95% ( -0.01) | 78.05% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee United | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 11.72% 2-0 @ 11.22% 2-1 @ 9.86% 3-0 @ 7.17% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.29% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.43% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.01% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.76% 4-2 @ 1.32% 5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 61.69% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0)Other @ 0.9% Total : 21.64% | 0-1 @ 5.38% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.52% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 1.79% Total : 16.65% |
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