Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 70.08%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for East Fife had a probability of 11.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a East Fife win it was 0-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
-1.28) 
0.68) 
