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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest East Fife win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| East Fife | Draw | Elgin City |
31.83% ( -1.29) | 24.27% ( -0.05) | 43.9% ( 1.33) |
| Both teams to score 59.09% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.6% ( -0.25) | 43.39% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.21% ( -0.25) | 65.79% ( 0.25) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.8% ( -0.91) | 26.2% ( 0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.71% ( -1.23) | 61.28% ( 1.23) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.07% ( 0.48) | 19.93% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.92% ( 0.77) | 52.08% ( -0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| East Fife | Draw | Elgin City |
| 2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.37% Total : 31.83% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.27% | 1-2 @ 9.1% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 4.89% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.97% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)Other @ 3% Total : 43.9% |
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