SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest East Fife win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forfar Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | East Fife |
44.02% ( -0.08) | 24.46% ( -0.01) | 31.51% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 58.28% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.6% ( 0.07) | 44.39% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.23% ( 0.07) | 66.77% ( -0.07) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.71% ( -0.01) | 20.29% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.35% ( -0.01) | 52.65% ( 0.01) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.11% ( 0.09) | 26.88% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.8% ( 0.12) | 62.2% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | East Fife |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.85% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 44.02% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.45% | 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 31.51% |
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