SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 70.08%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for East Fife had a probability of 11.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a East Fife win it was 0-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | East Fife |
70.08% ( -1.28) | 18.27% ( 0.68) | 11.65% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 47.69% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.97% ( -1.46) | 43.03% ( 1.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.57% ( -1.46) | 65.43% ( 1.46) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.92% ( -0.73) | 11.08% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.54% ( -1.62) | 35.46% ( 1.62) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.63% ( 0.12) | 46.37% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.99% ( 0.09) | 82% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | East Fife |
| 2-0 @ 12.43% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.39)2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.29)4-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.2)5-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.72% Total : 70.07% | 1-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.77% Total : 18.27% | 0-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.91% Total : 11.65% |
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