SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Motherwell |
32.94% ( -5.65) | 25.61% ( 0.46) | 41.44% ( 5.19) |
| Both teams to score 54.91% ( -2.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.97% ( -2.63) | 49.03% ( 2.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.89% ( -2.43) | 71.11% ( 2.42) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.75% ( -4.49) | 28.25% ( 4.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.04% ( -6.05) | 63.95% ( 6.05) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.53% ( 1.54) | 23.47% ( -1.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.51% ( 2.19) | 57.49% ( -2.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.83)2-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.84)3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.84)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.48)3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.71)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.44)Other @ 2.75% Total : 32.94% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.69)2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.33)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 9.61% ( 1.37) 1-2 @ 8.8% ( 0.6)0-2 @ 6.96% ( 1.26)1-3 @ 4.25% ( 0.47)0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.73)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.23)0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.31)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.03% Total : 41.44% |
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