SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 69.06%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 12.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for a Elgin City win it was 2-1 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Motherwell in this match.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Motherwell |
12.92% ( -1.07) | 18.02% ( -0.08) | 69.06% ( 1.15) |
| Both teams to score 52.65% ( -2.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.42% ( -2.25) | 38.59% ( 2.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.12% ( -2.42) | 60.88% ( 2.42) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.58% ( -3.03) | 41.42% ( 3.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.07% ( -2.78) | 77.93% ( 2.78) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.88% ( -0.33) | 10.12% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.69% ( -0.76) | 33.31% ( 0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Motherwell |
| 2-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.27) 1-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.18)Other @ 1.51% Total : 12.92% | 1-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.38)0-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.43)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.02% | 0-2 @ 10.99% ( 0.84) 1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.87)0-3 @ 8.4% ( 0.54)1-3 @ 7.4% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 4.81% ( 0.24)1-4 @ 4.24% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.34)0-5 @ 2.2% ( 0.08)1-5 @ 1.94% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.23)Other @ 4.66% Total : 69.05% |
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