SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Kilmarnock |
46.84% ( 0.69) | 25.71% ( 0.01) | 27.45% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 51.76% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.19% ( -0.45) | 51.81% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.43% ( -0.39) | 73.57% ( 0.39) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.89% ( 0.12) | 22.11% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.53% ( 0.19) | 55.47% ( -0.19) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.46% ( -0.77) | 33.54% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.81% ( -0.86) | 70.19% ( 0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 46.84% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.38% Total : 27.45% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
