SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Kilmarnock |
46.37% ( 2.12) | 25.5% ( -0.01) | 28.13% ( -2.11) |
| Both teams to score 52.86% ( -1.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.4% ( -1.02) | 50.6% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.49% ( -0.91) | 72.51% ( 0.91) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.18% ( 0.54) | 21.81% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.97% ( 0.82) | 55.03% ( -0.82) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.61% ( -2.06) | 32.39% ( 2.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.1% ( -2.39) | 68.9% ( 2.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.6) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.58)3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.36)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 46.36% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.39)0-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.34)1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.31)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.2)0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.23)Other @ 2.62% Total : 28.13% |
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