SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Kilmarnock |
33.41% ( -0.12) | 26.86% ( -0.03) | 39.73% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.02% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.92% ( 0.1) | 54.08% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.49% ( 0.08) | 75.5% ( -0.08) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.56% ( -0.03) | 30.44% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.35% ( -0.04) | 66.64% ( 0.04) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.35% ( 0.13) | 26.65% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.11% ( 0.17) | 61.89% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.41% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 10.72% 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 39.72% |
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