SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Kilmarnock.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Motherwell |
46.09% ( -0.04) | 26.3% ( 0.01) | 27.61% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.09% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.96% ( -0.04) | 54.03% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.53% ( -0.03) | 75.47% ( 0.03) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.59% ( -0.03) | 23.4% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.61% ( -0.05) | 57.39% ( 0.05) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.39% | 34.6% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.67% ( -0) | 71.32% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 11.76% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.54% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 46.09% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0)Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 27.61% |
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