SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 48.76%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Livingston |
48.76% ( -0.19) | 24.61% ( -0.15) | 26.63% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 54.55% ( 0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.16% ( 0.91) | 47.84% ( -0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.98% ( 0.83) | 70.02% ( -0.83) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.33% ( 0.28) | 19.67% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.35% ( 0.45) | 51.65% ( -0.45) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.9% ( 0.77) | 32.1% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.43% ( 0.86) | 68.57% ( -0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.95% Total : 48.76% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.61% | 0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.65% Total : 26.63% |
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