SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Dundee |
31.79% ( -0.22) | 26.8% ( -0.15) | 41.41% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 50.72% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.75% ( 0.51) | 54.25% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.35% ( 0.43) | 75.65% ( -0.42) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.38% ( 0.11) | 31.62% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.97% ( 0.13) | 68.03% ( -0.13) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.17% ( 0.43) | 25.83% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.21% ( 0.58) | 60.79% ( -0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Dundee |
| 1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.81% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.85% Total : 31.79% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 8.62% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.29% Total : 41.4% |
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