SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Livingston |
40.28% ( -0.01) | 25.4% ( 0) | 34.32% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.01% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.22% ( -0.02) | 47.77% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.04% ( -0.01) | 69.96% ( 0.01) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.5% ( -0.01) | 23.5% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.46% ( -0.02) | 57.53% ( 0.02) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.21% ( -0) | 26.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.93% | 62.07% |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 9.12% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.6% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0)4-2 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 40.28% | 1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 8.29% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.4% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.12% Total : 34.32% |
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