SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MVV Maastricht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | TOP Oss |
45.97% ( -0.06) | 24.55% ( 0.03) | 29.47% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.85% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.22% ( -0.1) | 45.78% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.9% ( -0.1) | 68.09% ( 0.1) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.98% ( -0.07) | 20.01% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.79% ( -0.11) | 52.2% ( 0.11) |
| TOP Oss Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.07% ( -0.03) | 28.92% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.19% ( -0.03) | 64.8% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | TOP Oss |
| 1-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.49% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.91% Total : 45.97% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.55% | 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.96% 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.57% Total : 29.47% |
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