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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 55.41%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 22.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Groningen |
22.75% ( -0.13) | 21.84% ( -0.04) | 55.41% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 59.69% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.91% ( 0.03) | 39.09% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.59% ( 0.03) | 61.41% ( -0.03) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.45% ( -0.09) | 30.55% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.22% ( -0.11) | 66.77% ( 0.11) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.94% ( 0.06) | 14.06% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.36% ( 0.13) | 41.63% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Groningen |
| 2-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.88% Total : 22.75% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.84% | 1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 6.41% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.41% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.8% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.15% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.65% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.87% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.36% Total : 55.41% |
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