SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| TOP Oss | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
33.51% ( -0.36) | 24.31% ( -0.11) | 42.17% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 59.61% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.01% ( 0.41) | 42.99% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.61% ( 0.41) | 65.39% ( -0.41) |
| TOP Oss Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.01% ( -0.02) | 24.98% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.36% ( -0.02) | 59.63% ( 0.02) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.47% ( 0.39) | 20.53% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.96% ( 0.61) | 53.03% ( -0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| TOP Oss | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 33.51% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.31% | 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.71% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.85% Total : 42.17% |
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