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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 48.95%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Helmond Sport | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
48.95% ( 0.21) | 23.41% ( -0.05) | 27.64% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 59.48% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.27% ( 0.12) | 41.72% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.87% ( 0.12) | 64.12% ( -0.12) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.77% ( 0.12) | 17.22% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.48% ( 0.21) | 47.52% ( -0.22) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.86% ( -0.05) | 28.14% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.17% ( -0.07) | 63.82% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Helmond Sport | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.98% Total : 48.95% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 27.64% |
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