SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | NAC Breda |
27.51% ( -0.23) | 23.54% ( -0.02) | 48.94% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 58.88% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.53% ( -0.07) | 42.46% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.13% ( -0.07) | 64.87% ( 0.07) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.37% ( -0.21) | 28.62% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.57% ( -0.26) | 64.43% ( 0.26) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.49% ( 0.07) | 17.51% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.98% ( 0.12) | 48.01% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.52% Total : 27.51% | 1-1 @ 10.92% 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 9.52% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.53% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.46% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 3.84% Total : 48.95% |
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