SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.21%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MVV Maastricht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| TOP Oss | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
30.17% ( 0.14) | 21.99% ( 0.02) | 47.84% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 66.56% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.79% ( 0) | 33.21% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.03% ( 0) | 54.97% ( 0) |
| TOP Oss Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.79% ( 0.08) | 22.21% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.38% ( 0.12) | 55.63% ( -0.12) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.56% ( -0.05) | 14.44% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.62% ( -0.09) | 42.39% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| TOP Oss | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 2-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.32% Total : 30.17% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.21% 3-3 @ 2.2% ( 0)Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.99% | 1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.83% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.39% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.54% Total : 47.84% |
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