SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 82.74%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 4.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.2%) and 0-1 (11.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.75%), while for a Naftan win it was 1-0 (2.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Naftan | Draw | Neman |
4.97% ( -1.91) | 12.29% ( -2.4) | 82.74% ( 4.31) |
| Both teams to score 36.8% ( -3.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.79% ( 2.98) | 39.21% ( -2.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.46% ( 3.05) | 61.54% ( -3.06) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 39.63% ( -4.09) | 60.36% ( 4.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.16% ( -2.21) | 90.84% ( 2.21) |
| Neman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.84% ( 1.64) | 7.15% ( -1.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.98% ( 4.15) | 26.02% ( -4.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Naftan | Draw | Neman |
| 1-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.67) 2-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.54)Other @ 1.34% Total : 4.97% | 1-1 @ 5.75% ( -1.17) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.63)2-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.5)Other @ 0.31% Total : 12.29% | 0-2 @ 15.02% ( 0.4) 0-3 @ 13.2% ( 1.35)0-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.65)0-4 @ 8.71% ( 1.51)1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.83)1-3 @ 6.67% ( -0.15)0-5 @ 4.59% ( 1.09)1-4 @ 4.4% ( 0.26)1-5 @ 2.32% ( 0.31)0-6 @ 2.02% ( 0.6)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.28)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.08)1-6 @ 1.02% ( 0.2)Other @ 3.03% Total : 82.72% |
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