SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 83.16%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 5.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.29%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.5%), while for a Naftan win it was 0-1 (1.94%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Neman | Draw | Naftan |
| 83.16% | 11.55% | 5.29% |
Both teams to score 42.2% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.44% ( -0.01) | 33.56% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.63% ( -0.01) | 55.37% ( 0.01) |
| Neman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.08% | 5.92% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.33% ( -0) | 22.67% ( 0) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.86% ( -0.01) | 55.14% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.03% ( -0) | 87.96% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Neman | Draw | Naftan |
| 2-0 @ 13.04% 3-0 @ 12.29% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0)4-0 @ 8.68% 2-1 @ 7.77% 3-1 @ 7.32% 4-1 @ 5.17% ( -0)5-0 @ 4.91% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.92% ( -0)6-0 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.38% ( -0)7-0 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 3.49% Total : 83.15% | 1-1 @ 5.5% 0-0 @ 3.27% ( 0)2-2 @ 2.31% ( -0)Other @ 0.48% Total : 11.55% | 0-1 @ 1.94% 1-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 1.71% Total : 5.29% |
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