Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 43.02%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 27.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.
