Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 48.67%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
