Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.