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J1 League | Gameweek 11
Mar 6, 2021 at 7am UK
Mizuho Athletic Stadium
GO

Nagoya Grampus
1 - 0
Gamba Osaka

Soma (82')
Naruse (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kaneko (18')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Gamba Osaka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawGamba Osaka
44.46%27.15%28.39%
Both teams to score 48.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.16%56.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.23%77.77%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.57%25.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.75%60.25%
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.51%35.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.74%72.26%
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 44.45%
    Gamba Osaka 28.39%
    Draw 27.15%
Nagoya GrampusDrawGamba Osaka
1-0 @ 12.35%
2-1 @ 8.76%
2-0 @ 8.46%
3-1 @ 4%
3-0 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 2.07%
4-1 @ 1.37%
4-0 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 44.45%
1-1 @ 12.8%
0-0 @ 9.03%
2-2 @ 4.54%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.15%
0-1 @ 9.35%
1-2 @ 6.63%
0-2 @ 4.84%
1-3 @ 2.29%
0-3 @ 1.67%
2-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 28.39%

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