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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United Under-21s win with a probability of 66.1%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 16.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.03%) and 1-3 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 2-1 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | West Ham United Under-21s |
16.18% ( -1.36) | 17.72% ( 0.21) | 66.1% ( 1.16) |
| Both teams to score 63.05% ( -4.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.52% ( -3.76) | 29.48% ( 3.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.44% ( -4.71) | 50.56% ( 4.72) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.82% ( -3.89) | 31.18% ( 3.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.48% ( -4.79) | 67.52% ( 4.79) |
| West Ham United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.62% ( -0.76) | 8.37% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.86% ( -1.92) | 29.14% ( 1.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | West Ham United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.34)3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.4)2-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.25)Other @ 3.14% Total : 16.18% | 1-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.6) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.36)0-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.53)3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.41)Other @ 0.36% Total : 17.72% | 1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0.41) 0-2 @ 8.03% ( 1.14)1-3 @ 7.74% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 6.64% ( 0.73)0-1 @ 6.48% ( 1.13)1-4 @ 4.8% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.48)0-4 @ 4.12% ( 0.31)2-4 @ 2.8% ( -0.42)1-5 @ 2.38% ( -0.17)0-5 @ 2.04% ( 0.08)2-5 @ 1.39% ( -0.27)3-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.3)1-6 @ 0.98% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.78% Total : 66.11% |
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