Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 53.75%. A win for West Ham United Under-21s had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest West Ham United Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
Result | ||
Reading | Draw | West Ham United Under-21s |
53.75% ( -0.03) | 21.7% ( -0.03) | 24.55% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 62.51% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.61% ( 0.21) | 36.38% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.48% ( 0.23) | 58.52% ( -0.22) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.34% ( 0.06) | 13.66% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.15% ( 0.12) | 40.85% ( -0.12) |
West Ham United Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.4% ( 0.16) | 27.6% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.87% ( 0.21) | 63.13% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Reading | Draw | West Ham United Under-21s |
2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.47% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 3.77% Total : 53.75% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.7% | 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.12% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 3.69% Total : 24.55% |
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