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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United Under-21s win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.36%) and 1-3 (5.24%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | West Ham United Under-21s |
35.3% ( 0.77) | 22.02% ( -0.03) | 42.68% ( -0.74) |
| Both teams to score 68.85% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.84% ( 0.35) | 31.16% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.42% ( 0.41) | 52.58% ( -0.41) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.45% ( 0.53) | 18.55% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.19% ( 0.88) | 49.81% ( -0.88) |
| West Ham United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.52% ( -0.14) | 15.48% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.65% ( -0.26) | 44.35% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | West Ham United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.06)4-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.77% Total : 35.3% | 1-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.55% Total : 22.02% | 1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 5.24% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 4.41% 0-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.06)3-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.13% Total : 42.68% |
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