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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 56.82%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 24.4% and a draw had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.84%) and 2-3 (5.56%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
24.4% ( 0.01) | 18.78% ( 0.26) | 56.82% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 73.71% ( -1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.94% ( -1.27) | 22.06% ( 1.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 59.03% ( -1.76) | 40.98% ( 1.76) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.32% ( -0.74) | 19.69% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.32% ( -1.23) | 51.68% ( 1.23) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.78% ( -0.44) | 8.22% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.23% ( -1.13) | 28.77% ( 1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.07)4-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.76% Total : 24.4% | 2-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.02) 1-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.31)3-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.9% Total : 18.78% | 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 6.84% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 5.56% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.25)1-4 @ 4.27% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 4.21% ( 0.12)0-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.28)2-4 @ 3.47% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 2.13% ( -0.09)3-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.13)2-5 @ 1.73% ( -0.11)0-5 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)3-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.09)Other @ 4.55% Total : 56.82% |
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