SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 34.71%. A draw had a probability of 33.4% and a win for Huracan had a probability of 31.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.05%) and 2-1 (5.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.38%), while for a Huracan win it was 0-1 (14.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Huracan |
34.71% ( 0.46) | 33.44% ( 0.03) | 31.84% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 33.97% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 25.59% ( -0.08) | 74.41% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 10.08% ( -0.05) | 89.93% ( 0.05) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.38% ( 0.29) | 40.63% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.78% ( 0.26) | 77.22% ( -0.26) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.21% ( -0.43) | 42.79% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.89% ( -0.37) | 79.12% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Huracan |
| 1-0 @ 15.66% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.1% Total : 34.72% | 0-0 @ 17.38% ( 0.05) 1-1 @ 13.29% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 33.44% | 0-1 @ 14.75% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.13)1-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.81% Total : 31.84% |
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