SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 40.06%. A draw had a probability of 31.9% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 28.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 2-1 (6.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.47%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Huracan | Draw | Gimnasia |
40.06% ( 0.09) | 31.89% ( -0.01) | 28.05% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 36.3% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 28.7% ( 0) | 71.3% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 11.95% ( 0) | 88.05% ( -0) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.82% ( 0.06) | 35.18% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.06% ( 0.06) | 71.93% ( -0.06) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56% ( -0.07) | 44% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.88% ( -0.06) | 80.12% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Huracan | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 16.17% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 40.06% | 0-0 @ 15.47% ( -0.01) 1-1 @ 13.27% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.85% ( -0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 31.87% | 0-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.75% Total : 28.04% |
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