SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.77%) and 2-1 (7.7%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Huracan | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
39.27% ( 0.82) | 29.49% ( -0.18) | 31.24% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 42.97% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.14% ( 0.47) | 63.86% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.92% ( 0.34) | 83.08% ( -0.33) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.32% ( 0.74) | 31.68% ( -0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.9% ( 0.84) | 68.1% ( -0.84) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.9% ( -0.21) | 37.1% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.11% ( -0.21) | 73.89% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Huracan | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 1-0 @ 13.51% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.18)2-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.91% Total : 39.27% | 1-1 @ 13.39% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 11.75% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.48% | 0-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.8% Total : 31.24% |
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