Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 49.25%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Platense had a probability of 21.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.47%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newell's Old Boys would win this match.
Result | ||
Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Platense |
49.25% ( 0.06) | 29.28% ( -0.03) | 21.47% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 37.38% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.45% ( 0.06) | 67.55% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.36% ( 0.04) | 85.63% ( -0.04) |
Newell's Old Boys Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.95% ( 0.06) | 28.04% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.3% ( 0.08) | 63.7% ( -0.07) |
Platense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.94% ( 0) | 48.05% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.73% ( 0) | 83.27% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Platense |
1-0 @ 17.13% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.24% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 1.46% Total : 49.25% | 0-0 @ 13.47% ( -0.03) 1-1 @ 12.55% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.93% ( 0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 29.27% | 0-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.6% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.25% Total : 21.47% |
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