SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 36.27%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 31.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.3%) and 2-1 (6.78%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (13.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Platense | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
36.27% ( -0.05) | 31.47% ( 0.33) | 32.26% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 38.32% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.5% ( -0.93) | 69.5% ( 0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.09% ( -0.6) | 86.92% ( 0.61) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.36% ( -0.56) | 36.65% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.57% ( -0.56) | 73.44% ( 0.57) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.48% ( -0.74) | 39.52% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.79% ( -0.7) | 76.21% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Platense | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 1-0 @ 14.53% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.9% Total : 36.26% | 0-0 @ 14.48% ( 0.49) 1-1 @ 13.49% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.35% Total : 31.46% | 0-1 @ 13.44% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.47% Total : 32.26% |
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